By Barry Rubin
Given the shape of Jewish history, verbal expressions of friendship that
others would take as the norm are treated as overwhelming acts of
wonderfulness. This tradition goes back to the days of monarchies, when Jews saw themselves
as powerless people who were passive recipients of the king’s generosity.
One reason that idea continued was because expressing the
idea that Jews might have some power, some ability to shape events, was a major
theme of antisemitism. Indeed, claiming that there is an all-powerful Jewish
lobby or even of a Jewish-controlled media (which is laughable) remain to this
day one of the main earmarks of antisemitic thinking.
What is the purpose of hasbara, that is, the effort
to explain Israel’s situation, experiences, perceptions, and goals? It is not
to make everyone love Israel or Jews, though that would be nice, but to create conditions
so that Jews are not attacked or materially hurt by hostile neighbors and so Israel can have the environment in which it can operate with enough international support to do what it needs to do.
Let's discuss these themes in the context of
President Barack Obama’s visit to Israel.
From an Israeli, though not necessarily from an
American, viewpoint it is absurd to be “pro-Obama” or “anti-Obama.” The issue
is what Obama does in regard to Israeli interests. This is not necessarily the
same criteria that American Jews would take, given their additional involvement and interest in many
other issues that have nothing to do with international affairs.
In Israeli terms, for example, Richard Nixon was a
good president. So were Harry Truman, Bill Clinton, and Ronald Reagan. Note the wide differences in their domestic policies, reputations, and worldviews in an American context..
If Obama is now going to be considered friendly toward Israel, to use his own
words in a different context, he didn’t build it on his own. Indeed, if Obama
had his own way, if he could do anything he wanted to do, he would have been
terribly unfriendly, the most unfriendly American president in history. (Jimmy Carter's hostility came almost completely after leaving office.) And in many
ways, that is how he began his presidency.
But Obama is neither a free agent nor a fanatic out
to hurt Israel at any price. As president he interacts with reality, at least
on this issue. There were three categories of factors that changed the strong
hostility of Obama’s original position into something else.
First, internal American factors:
--A tradition seen as the norm of strong support for
Israel by the United States.
--Pro-Israel public opinion.
--A largely pro-Israel Congress.
Second, regional factors:
--The lack of cooperation by the Palestinians who gave
Obama zero assistance in his attempts to help them. Imagine if the Palestinian
Authority had said in 2009:
“We want negotiations right away and peace as fast
as possible. But we expect Obama to get us what we demand, including big
Israeli concessions in exchange for very little. President Obama, you can have
peace if you only bash Israel!
But they did the opposite, turning down every Obama
initiative.
--Lack of cooperation by the Arab states generally,
which did not take advantage of Obama’s offer to help them get major Israeli
concessions through U.S. pressure.
--Iran’s intransigence.
--The fact that Islamists proved Obama wrong and
became more radical.
In short, Obama discovered that distancing himself
from Israel bought no gain.
Third, actions by Israel and American Jews:
--The Israeli government’s strategy of cooperating
with Obama as much as possible to avoid giving him a—you can call it a reason
or an excuse—for a quarrel.
--The tireless work of American Jews, both
supporters and opponents of Obama, to explain the issues and mobilize support. This
includes those whose strong criticism stung the administration.
It is not that Obama was nice toward Israel all along;
it is that there is a new policy based on his realizing there wasn’t going to
be a breakthrough to a comprehensive peace agreement.
There are, however, still two problem areas. First, the
president expresses sympathy but not agreement with Israel. His view is:
I understand why you act as you do but you are
wrong. You can obtain lasting peace fast if only you aren’t stubborn and suspicious.
This, however, doesn’t matter very much. The second
problem is critical. How can you be so nice to a country when you help its
enemies? How can you help populate Israel’s borders and neighborhood with those
who openly proclaim their goal of committing genocide on its people?
If one asks: Has Obama helped or hurt Israel’s
strategic situation the answer is that he has quite definitely hurt it overall. If one asks: Has Obama helped or hurt Israel's ability to deal with that strategic situation the answer is that he has been about as good--but certainly not better--as several predecessors by merely continuing past U.S. aid and other policies.
Again, though, it is not a matter of liking or
disliking Obama as a person but analyzing his behavior as a president.
The day after Obama’s election in 2008, I organized
a program in Tel Aviv on the result. I and everyone on the panel spoke of what
a great person Obama was and how he was going to be a great friend of Israel. It
was proper not to start a conflict with him.
During 2009, however, I was faced with an important
question: Should I be flat-out honest as to what I thought regarding Obama’s
policies or would that jeopardize the bilateral relationship. Would supporters
of Obama react against Israel because of criticism of their beloved chief
executive?
I decided to speak up, partly because the dangers
were so great and also since the whole point of criticism is to persuade
someone to change course. By 2011 it was already becoming clear that U.S.-Israel relations as such were not the
problem, U.S. Middle East policy was.
Let me summarize in this way:
--Arab behavior was the main force showing Obama
that he was wrong. That parallels what happened during the Cold War when anti-American
actions by radical Arab regimes and their alliance with the USSR persuaded previously
unfriendly U.S. policymakers that they benefited from an alignment with Israel.
--The fact that the American people recognized the
rightness of Israel’s narrative could not be ignored by leaders, especially if
bashing Israel brought no strategic advantage..
--What’s significant is not whether or not Obama
loves Israel but that he sees support as being in U.S. interests. Reality
forced him to move from a policy of distancing himself from Israel to one of
embracing Israel.
--But Obama must learn now about the dangers of
Islamism or his administration will continue to be a net minus for Israel. It
would be better if Obama learned to love the Arabs, Iranians, and Turks fighting
for moderation and real democracy in their countries, not the totalitarians in those
places.
--By truly protecting U.S. interests, Obama would do
more for Israel than by making any number of friendly speeches.
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