Showing posts with label Muslim Brotherhood. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Muslim Brotherhood. Show all posts

Tuesday, June 5, 2012

Understanding the Muslim Brotherhood: An Introduction

Listen also: I'm interviewed on Egypt


-----------------------
We need your support. To make a tax-deductible donation to the GLORIA Center by PayPal or credit card: click Donate button: http://www.rubinreports.blogspot.com. Checks: "American Friends of IDC.” “For GLORIA Center” on memo line. Mail: American Friends of IDC, 116 East 16th St., 11th Fl., NY, NY 10003.

Please be subscriber 29,319 (among about 45679 total readers). Put email address in upper right-hand box: http://www.rubinreports.blogspot.com
------------------------


The following article is Copyright Foreign Policy Research Institute (http://www.fpri.org/).


            UNDERSTANDING THE MUSLIM BROTHERHOOD 

                    by Barry Rubin

Barry Rubin, a Senior Fellow of FPRI, is director of the 
Global Research in International Affairs (GLORIA) Center 
and editor of the Middle East Review of International 
Affairs (MERIA) Journal. His books include The Muslim 
Brotherhood: The Organization and Politics of a Global 
Islamist Movement (Palgrave-Macmillan, 2010) and Islamic 
Fundamentalists in Egyptian Politics (Palgrave-Macmillan, 
2002). Other books include  The Long War for Freedom: The 
Arab Struggle for Democracy in the Middle East (Wiley, 
2005), The Truth About Syria (Palgrave-Macmillan, 2007); 
and Israel: An Introduction (Yale University Press, 2012). 
His articles are featured at the website of the GLORIA 
Center and in his own blog, Rubin Reports.
________________________________________________


Today, the Muslim Brotherhood is the most important 
international political organization in the Arabic-speaking 
world. It is the dominant party in Egypt’s parliament, 
having obtained about 47 percent of the vote there, and in 
the Tunisian government, having received 40 percent of 
the ballots. In the form of Hamas, now an explicit branch 
of the movement, it rules the Gaza Strip. 

It is the leadership of the opposition in the Palestinian 
Authority (West Bank) and in Jordan, while the local 
Brotherhood controls the internationally recognized 
leadership (the Syrian National Council) of the Syrian 
opposition in the civil war there. Much smaller Brotherhood 
groups exist in several other Arab countries.

Yet even that is not all. The Brotherhood has become the 
most important group among Muslims in Europe and North 
America, too, often directing communities and representing 
them in dealings with the government and non-Muslim society 
as well. It should be stressed, however, that it is a 
decentralized organization and there is no close 
coordination of the branches in different countries. 

What is most important to understand about the Brotherhood 
is that, despite its religion-based ideology, it should be 
viewed in political, not theological terms. It is and has 
always been a revolutionary organization seeking to seize 
state power and then to transform thoroughly the societies 
where it operates.   

This point does not imply any necessary opposition to 
democratic elections or playing within parliamentary rules. 
After all, the Brotherhood ran candidates for years in 
Egyptian elections under the Mubarak regime, though it was 
not allowed to run as its own party, and has played a 
parliamentary role for years in Jordan. In the Gaza Strip, 
however, after it ran in Palestinian elections and won, 
Hamas seized power by force. The Brotherhood’s most 
important ideological advisor, the Egyptian but Qatar-
based Yusuf al-Qaradawi, has strongly endorsed 
electoral politics for almost a decade. In response to 
al-Qaida, which rejected elections, al-Qaradawi said 
there was no reason not to run candidates, especially 
since the Brotherhood would win.

EARLY HISTORY 

The Muslim Brotherhood was founded in 1928 in Egypt 
by the schoolteacher Hasan al-Banna. At that time Islam 
was at a relative low point in affecting politics. The 
direct inspiration for the new group was the abolition 
of the caliphate, which had existed at least nominally 
since Islam began twelve centuries earlier, by the new 
Turkish republic. For al-Banna and his friends, Islam 
had to be restored to center-stage not only socially 
but also politically.

At that time, nationalism was in the ascendancy. With 
British help, during World War One the Arab nationalists 
had revolted against the Ottoman Turkish sultan-caliph, 
to whom they supposedly owed fealty in Islamic terms. 
Arab countries had been formed that were tending toward 
relative secularism. Islamists were a small minority, 
many of them having been Arabs who had been on the 
losing side by continuing to back Ottoman rule.  

There had been a number of leading thinkers in Egypt, 
notably Muhammad Abdu and Rashid Ridda, who had 
argued that Islam was an important element in the 
country’s national identity and development. They 
tended, however, to favor a somewhat modernized 
Islam. The Brotherhood represented a more conservative 
reaction against the changes taking place in Egypt and 
the Arab world.

During the 1920s and 1930s, the movement grew quickly, 
establishing branches in other countries, notably Syria. 
It reached out to allies, most importantly the grand 
mufti of Jerusalem, Hajj Amin al-Husaini, and developed 
contacts as far away as the Indian subcontinent. But 
overall it remained a relatively minor force in an 
Egyptian national life dominated by the king and 
relatively liberal parties that sought a more European-
style system and worldview for the country.

A key element in the development of the Brotherhood 
was its admiration for and eventual alliance with Nazi 
Germany. The Germans subsidized the Brotherhood before 
and during World War Two. The height of their 
cooperation came in 1942. As German forces approached 
Egypt from the west, the Brotherhood prepared an 
uprising and called for the massacre of the Jews and 
Christians in the country. Large amounts of German-
supplied arms were hidden to be ready for the revolt. 
But the British defeat of General Erwin Rommel’s 
forces and decisive British action in Cairo kept the 
country under control.

After 1945, Egypt was in an unstable situation. The 
Brotherhood organized a secret group for terrorist 
activities and also, in 1947, volunteers to fight to turn
all of Palestine into an Islamist state, armed with the 
guns the Germans had provided five years earlier. One of 
the soldiers was Yasir Arafat. 

As a revolutionary situation developed in Egypt, the 
monarchy closed down the Brotherhood in December 1948, 
the Brotherhood assassinated Prime Minister Mahmoud al-
Nukrashi, and al-Banna was then killed, probably by 
the government in retaliation.

Instead of the Brotherhood, however, a radical 
nationalist group in the army seized power, in 1952. 
The Brotherhood had worked with many of these people in 
the anti-British, pro-German movement. But the officers, 
led by Gamal Abdel Nasser, had no interest in sharing 
power or leaving such a powerful rival intact. 

After a controversial alleged assassination attempt on 
Nasser in 1954, the nationalists crushed the Brotherhood. 
Its leaders were arrested, sent to concentration camps, 
and treated very harshly. Three years later, the Syrian 
branch faced similar treatment by Nasser’s counterparts 
there. Among the prisoners in Egypt was Sayyid Qutb, an 
Islamist theorist who is responsible for much of the 
basis of modern Islamism. He was executed in 1966. 

From the mid-1950s, the Brotherhood went underground and 
into exile. Drawing on links with Saudi Arabia, which 
offered financing and safe haven, the Brotherhood built 
an international structure. An infrastructure was built 
in Europe, based in Germany and Switzerland, to help the 
movement survive. Although this was not the intention, 
these operations would prove invaluable in providing the 
Brotherhood a foothold that would, decades later, help it 
take a leading role in the new Muslim communities in 
Europe.

THE BROTHERHOOD REVIVED 

After Nasser died in 1970, his successor, Anwar al-Sadat, 
wanted to strengthen his base against the left-wing 
faction in the regime that opposed him. He released the 
Brotherhood leaders from jail and allowed the movement to 
revive, albeit not officially. In return, the Brotherhood 
promised not to engage in violence in Egypt, though this 
did not keep them from continuing to support violence abroad.

Chastened by their suffering, the Brotherhood’s leaders 
were very cautious. They proclaimed that the current stage 
of politics was one of base-building and recruiting (da’wa) 
but not of revolutionary actions. Still, the revival of 
revolutionary Islamism thrust up new thinkers and 
activists in Egypt who were impatient with the Brotherhood’s 
caution. 

Such people regularly left the Brotherhood to form smaller, 
more militant and sometimes violent groups. These included 
the Jihad movement, which assassinated Sadat in 1981 and 
whose surviving leaders eventually joined al-Qaida. Other 
such groups engaged in community organizing. A smaller 
group of relative moderates urged the Brotherhood to form 
the Wahda party and give up its revolutionary goals. But the 
reformers were stymied, eventually quit the Brotherhood, and 
became openly critical of it. 

Wrongly concluding that a revolutionary opportunity was 
present in the 1990s, the militant groups turned to 
terrorism and for several years Egypt was wracked by 
violence, with hundreds of people being killed. The 
Brotherhood stayed aloof and the government repressed the 
insurgency.  

Thus the situation remained during the last two decades of 
the Mubarak regime. In its main expression of goals, 
Brotherhood leaders circulated a political platform in 
2007 platform stating that under its rule, “Islam is the 
official state religion and that the Islamic shari'a is 
the main source for legislation.” This would be compatible 
with democracy since this program “will be implemented in 
a manner that conforms to the [will of the] nation, by 
means of a parliamentary majority elected in free, clean, 
and transparent [elections].”

However, a Supreme Council of Clerics would be established 
to determine what laws are acceptable. While promising to 
protect non-Muslim citizens in their practice of religion, 
the state would be “ensuring that no ritual, propaganda, 
or pilgrimage contradicting Islamic activities are carried 
out,” which could be interpreted, for example, to forbid 
the construction or repair of churches among other things. 

The Brotherhood functioned effectively but without full 
legal sanction. It did well in various professional 
associations, generally ruling the doctors’, lawyers’, and 
other organizations. On several occasions it joined with 
other parties to run candidates under their partner’s 
auspices but was denied their full vote total. The 
Brotherhood even had members of parliament, though they 
were elected on the lists of other parties. 

Abroad, the Brotherhood advocated anti-Americanism, 
violence against the United States as well as terrorism 
against Israel; that country’s extinction; and anti-
Semitism, proclaiming that Jews were innately evil and 
the enemies of Islam. 

The Syrian branch of the Brotherhood tried a revolt in 
1982 which was suppressed by the regime there with 
heavy casualties. Its leaders fled to Europe. Brotherhood 
groups in Lebanon, Iraq, and other countries remained 
small. In Jordan, however, the branch grew, forming an 
Islamic Salvation Front to contest elections. While it 
did well in the balloting, this group was not allowed 
by the monarchy—which manipulated the rules and results—
to win and form a government. 

The big area of expansion, however, was in the West. 
As Muslim immigrants moved to Europe and North America, 
the Brotherhood was the only international Arab 
organization that was ready with a strong infrastructure, 
a clear ideology, and ample financing. In country after 
country it seized the leading positions even though it 
only enjoyed direct support from a tiny minority of the 
communities.  

In the Gaza Strip, Hamas appeared from the small 
Brotherhood branch but was nominally independent. It 
generally, but not always, cooperated with the PLO, 
gradually increasing its attacks on Israeli civilians. 
Hamas rejected Arafat’s decision to enter into 
negotiations with Israel in 1993 but used the Palestinian 
Authority to build its own base. In 2000, it allied again 
with Arafat in another insurgency against Israel.  After 
winning elections, it made a deal with the Fatah 
nationalists but quickly broke it and launched a coup 
which seized the Gaza Strip in 2007. In 2011, following 
Egypt’s revolution, Hamas formally joined the Muslim 
Brotherhood.  

REVOLUTIONARY STRATEGY IN THE “ARAB SPRING”  

In the fall of 2010 the Egyptian Brotherhood’s new 
leader, Muhammad al-Badi, made a dramatic speech changing 
the organization’s course and initiating a new 
revolutionary phase. The improvement and change that the 
[Muslim] nation seeks can only be attained through jihad 
and sacrifice and by raising a jihadi generation that 
pursues death just as the enemies pursue life." 

According to his analysis, the moment to strike had 
come because the United States was weak and in retreat 
("experiencing the beginning of its end and is heading 
towards its demise"); Islamist groups had been defeating 
Israel; and the Mubarak regime—its leader ailing and his 
choice of son as successor extremely unpopular—was near 
collapse. One reason for that decline, al-Badi claimed, 
was that it had not fulfilled “Allah's commandment to 
wage jihad…so that Allah's word will reign supreme” over 
all non-Muslims.

The following February, liberal-radical groups with 
which the Brotherhood had been cooperating launched 
massive demonstrations centered in Tahrir Square. Aware 
that a high profile would make it subject to government 
repression and wanting to see if the movement succeeded 
before committing itself, the Brotherhood held aloof for 
a few days. Then, with the movement gaining momentum, 
it shifted to full participation.  

In Tunisia, which also had an army-assisted revolution, 
the Brotherhood branch gained 40 percent of the vote in 
the subsequent elections and took the leading role in 
forming the government. It was constrained, however, by 
the need to form a coalition with secular parties.

Once Mubarak had been forced out of power by the army 
in Egypt, the Brotherhood emerged into the light. In 
February 2011, a huge demonstration headlined by the 
Brotherhood’s most influential ideologist, Yusuf al-
Qaradawi, called out an estimated one million plus people 
in Cairo, dwarfing the liberals’ events. From that point 
on, the Brotherhood took the lead in the revolution. 

The Brotherhood had to make three difficult strategic 
decisions:

--How bold should it be in seeking power? The 
Brotherhood had already decided to participate fully in 
elections, as it had done before under Mubarak, but at 
first it insisted that it would only run candidates for 
one-third of the parliamentary seats. Over the ensuing 
months, this was raised to one-half and finally to all of 
the seats. In the 2012 elections for the lower house of 
parliament it would gain 47 percent.

Similarly, the Brotherhood repeatedly stated that it 
would not run a presidential candidate but preferred to 
back a liberal or nationalist one. Rejecting this policy, a 
leading Brotherhood official and reputedly a relative 
moderate, Abdul Moneim Aboul Fotouh, declared his candidacy 
and was expelled. In the May 2012 first round, the 
Brotherhood’s Muhammad Mursi came in first with more than 
25 percent of the vote while Fotouh ran fourth with 19 
percent. 

--Who should it identify as its main allies and enemies 
in Egyptian politics? The Brotherhood at times worked 
on making a deal with the military junta while at other 
times cooperated with liberal and radical secular groups 
against the transitional military regime. In the end, it 
was able to maintain decent relations with both.  

--How radical or moderate should it appear to be? The 
Brotherhood undertook a carefully coordinated charm 
offensive to persuade the West that it was now moderate. 
For example, its English-language blog highlighted such 
statements and omitted the positions taken by the 
Brotherhood in Arabic.

Many observers in the West—including government officials, 
academics, and journalists—argued that the Brotherhood 
had become moderate. They particularly cited personal 
contacts with Brotherhood leaders or activists; the 
organization’s alleged rejection of violence; and its 
participation in elections. It was also argued that 
participation in elections and in governance would 
inevitably moderate the Brotherhood.

A serious problem with this thesis, however, was when 
the Brotherhood adopted an extremely radical stance 
during the presidential elections, calling for a Sharia 
state and the restoration of the Caliphate. By then, 
many of those who had previously proclaimed the 
Brotherhood’s moderation transferred the label of 
“moderate Islamist” to Fotouh.

There were certainly those in Egypt for whom the 
Brotherhood was deemed insufficiently militant. Such 
groups, mostly descended from the 1990s’ dissidents, 
were collectively called Salafists. The most extreme 
engaged in violent attacks on churches and the Israeli 
embassy. Some, particularly in the Sinai, began assaults 
on police stations to obtain arms and repeatedly 
sabotaged the natural gas pipeline to Israel, forcing it 
to be closed down. 

While the Salafists gained about 25 percent in the 
parliamentary elections, their candidate was barred 
from the presidential elections on a technicality. Some 
of the Salafist groups endorsed Fotouh. It was not clear 
whether the Salafists would be able to work with the 
Brotherhood in the future, due to differences in tactics 
and rivalry for power, although their basic goals were 
quite similar.

The great change in the Brotherhood’s fortunes made it 
clear that the group would play a leading role in the 
governance of Egypt and possible that it would be the 
governing power. More broadly, the Egyptian Brotherhood, 
using the state to whatever extent, had placed itself at 
the head of a Sunni Islamist bloc including Hamas, which 
governed in the Gaza Strip; the Tunisian government; the 
Syrian branch, which was playing a leading role in the 
civil war there; and the Jordanian branch, along with 
smaller groups in Libya, Lebanon, and elsewhere.

With its leading role in many Muslim communities in 
Europe and North America, the Brotherhood has emerged as 
a considerable international force. Clearly the leading 
Sunni Islamist group in the world, it is arguably the 
most important revolutionary organization in the world 
as well.   


Suggested Readings:

John Calvert, Sayyid Qutb and the Origins of Radical 
Islamism (Columbia University Press, 2010)

Steven A. Cook, The Struggle for Egypt (Oxford 
University Press, 2011)

Richard Mitchell, The Society of the Muslim Brothers 
(Oxford University Press, 1993)

Yvette Talhamy, "The Muslim Brotherhood Reborn," Middle 
East Quarterly, 19:2 (2012)

Eric Trager, “The Unbreakable Muslim Brotherhood: 
Grim Prospects for a Liberal Egypt,” Foreign Affairs, 
September-October 2011, Vol. 90, No. 3 

Lorenzo Vidino, The New Muslim Brotherhood in the West 
(Columbia University Press, 2010) 

Itzchak Weismann "The Politics of Popular Religion—
Sufis, Salafis and Muslim Brothers in 20th Century 
Hamah," International Journal of Middle East Studies, 
37:1 (2005)

Quintan Wiktorowicz, The Management of Islamic 
Activism: Salafis, the Muslim Brotherhood, and State 
Power in Jordan (SUNY Press, 2000)  



Monday, March 12, 2012

How to Make the `Bad Guys’ into `Good Guys’ By Pretending They're Moderate Guys

By Barry Rubin

There are  two types of revolutionary Islamists in the Middle East today: the Muslim Brotherhood and the “Salafists.” Of course, the Muslim Brotherhood is in fact a salafist group, in the sense that it wants to use Islam as it can be most strictly and repressively interpreted and create a dictatorship based on a radical interpretation of Sharia law.

And that is the first important point to understand.   The difference between Brotherhood and “Salafists” is purely tactical. The Brotherhood has learned how to maneuver politically, an advance similar to what Lenin instituted for the Marxists of his day. You can’t just declare a revolution and change everything overnight.

No, the Communists argued a century ago and the Brotherhood advocates now, instead the road to victory is to create a disciplined movement, build a mass base, construct front groups, create (temporary) alliances that split your opponents, and march step by step to total power. .Just as Lenin planned to get the capitalists to sell him the rope with which to hang them, the Brotherhood plots to get the infidels to do.

So far the Brotherhood has been pretty successful.

In contrast, the Salafists are less elegant. They put it all on the table: total Islamism now through direct action and violence.

-----------------------
We need your support. To make a tax-deductible donation to the GLORIA Center by PayPal or credit card: click Donate button: http://www.rubinreports.blogspot.com. Checks: "American Friends of IDC.” “For GLORIA Center” on memo line. Mail: American Friends of IDC, 116 East 16th St., 11th Fl., NY, NY 10003.

Please be subscriber 28,883. Put email address in upper right-hand box: http://www.rubinreports.blogspot.com
-----------------------


These thoughts were prompted by an Associated Press article on Tunisia, the only Middle Eastern country where secularists are going to make a stand against the revolutionary Islamist movement that is advancing everywhere. In addition, since the Islamist Muslim Brotherhood is in a coalition government with liberals Tunisia will be a test case for lots of issues.

So can liberal Tunisians expect any real Western help or sympathy? Well, as we’ve seen in Iran, Turkey; Lebanon, and Syria the answer is pretty much “no.” Why? Because in the dominant Western narrative—dominated by the far left—it is the Brotherhood and not the liberals who are the “good guys” in the Middle East.

Think of how “unnatural” this is. There are leftists in the region and real liberals, too, who are the precise counterparts of the current Western elites in terms of ideas or of Western democratic societies in terms of goals.  Shouldn’t all those academics, intellectuals, journalists, and government officials be cheering the liberals and booing the Islamists, including the Brotherhood?  Marxists and Communists used to call the equivalents of the Brotherhood, “clerical fascists.”

Here's a rare example of old-fashioned leftism from the  Communist Party of Great Britain's newspaper, December 1, 2011:

"In 1979, a wave of euphoria for the uprising against the shah of Iran swept through the left, which failed to warn of the danger that was presented by other bourgeois forces, particularly the mullahs. The left adopted the attitude of ‘My enemy’s enemy is my friend’, rather than adopting the position, developed by Marx and Engels, and later by Lenin and Trotsky, that the working class should focus on defending its own interests, developing its own independent organisations and maintaining a strict separation from the bourgeoisie."

Refreshing, isn't it? Makes you yearn for the good old days. And the article continues:

"As Engels and Lenin, in particular, made clear, our aim is not bourgeois democracy, but socialism. We defend bourgeois-democratic freedoms not as an end in themselves, but only in so far as they facilitate the independent organisation and struggle of the workers."

So, on one hand, Marxists don't support reactionary clerical regimes (said to be "bourgeois") while Marxists only pretend to be for democracy in order to get Communism. So why should Western liberals, or leftists for that matter, support reactionary clerical regimes (totalitarians) that only pretend to be for democracy in order to get Islamist dictatorships (Iran; the Taliban's Afghanistan; Hamas' Gaza Strip, and coming soon to Egypt, etc.?)

Can you think of one liberal Muslim, in the West or in the Middle East, who has become a hero to Western onlookers? No. Such people remain small in numbers and obscure in terms of publicity.  In a few cases, they are let into the Western media but only to argue that the Brotherhood is going to be their protector. This is what happened after the brief period of cheerleading for the Tahrir Square “Facebook kids.” If you are a liberal or secularist Middle Easterner or Western Muslim don't expect any support from liberal secularist Westerners.

How do you make the bad guys into good guys while ignoring the good guys? By making the even-worse guys the apparent threat. 


Barry Rubin is director of the Global Research in International Affairs (GLORIA) Center and editor of the Middle East Review of International Affairs (MERIA) Journal. His book, Israel: An Introduction, has just been published by Yale University Press. Other recent books include The Israel-Arab Reader (seventh edition), The Long War for Freedom: The Arab Struggle for Democracy in the Middle East (Wiley), and The Truth About Syria (Palgrave-Macmillan). The website of the GLORIA Center  and of his blog, Rubin Reports. His original articles are published at PJMedia.

Thursday, February 23, 2012

Is Egypt about to Elect an Islamist President?

By Barry Rubin

Registering to run for president of Egypt will begin March 10. The military moved it up from April 15 to show that it is handing over power to the civilians. As I've said before, I've never seen any evidence that the army is not going to turn over control of the country to a new, elected president. All of the mass media and political hysteria to the contrary, the generals don't want to hold onto the government.

Has the Brotherhood's success in parliamentary elections gone to its head? Has the weak international response to its ascendancy emboldened the Islamists to seek total power now rather than go slow and be patient? It's starting to look that way.
The Muslim Brotherhood has announced once again that it will not run a candidate for president in the elections projected for June. "The Muslim Brotherhood will not support Abdel-Moneim Abul-Fotouh or any candidate,” says Muhammad al-Badi, the leader of the Brotherhood.

But this is misdirection. The Brotherhood's influential spiritual advisor Yusuf al-Qaradawi is supporting Abul-Fotouh. And guess what? The Brotherhood is going to support Abul-Fotouh "unofficially." How? Simple, through the "independent" Justice and Development party supporting an "independent" presidential candidate. 

Brotherhood leader Muhammad al-Badi now says that the president must have an "Islamic background" and by that he rules out any "secular" candidate. And the head of the Freedom and Justice Party, which everyone in Egypt but apparently not in the Western media, knows is a Brotherhood front, Muhammad Morsi, said that Egypt's new president  must “be committed to the Islamic approach,” though he still says his party won't have a candidate. 

Egyptian voters who backed the Brotherhood--giving it 235 seats, 47 percent of those in parliament--will vote for someone. The Brotherhood doesn’t own their votes but presumably most of them will support an unofficial Brotherhood candidate.
The Salafists, with 121 seats, almost 25 percent of parliament, will probably have their own candidate.

While this seemed impossible last year it is now conceivable that the two leading presidential candidates will be Islamists and thus Egypt will have an Islamist president. That would mean the timetable for turning the country into an Islamist Sharia state could be vastly accelerated. It's up to the Brotherhood to decide whether to move cautiously toward state power or floor the accelerator.

If the reported plan for the election is accurate, the rules drawn up by the military help the Islamists. To run for president requires endorsement by 30 members of parliament. Only four parties have that many--the Brotherhood's front group, the Salafists, the Wafd, and the Egyptian Bloc (Free Egyptians Party). Can individual Brotherhood members endorse a candidate without facing party discipline? Again, since the Brotherhood's party is nominally independent of the Brotherhood, al-Badi's statement does not restrict its freedom of decision.

According to the Egyptian media, each party can nominate one candidate. While some among  the 80 members of small parties or independents could band together in some combination to nominate someone, the maximum number of candidates would be restricted to five, probably less.



Thursday, February 9, 2012

Arab Liberals Lament: Here's How the Muslim Brotherhood is Fooling the West

By Barry Rubin

Since we can’t get good coverage of the Egyptian Muslim Brotherhood in the Western media it’s necessary to turn to the Islamists’ intended victims--Arab liberals—to get a better picture.

NowLebanon explains it all to you in an article on what it calls the “media blitz” of the Muslim Brotherhood and its politicians in the Freedom and Justice Party (FJP). It writes:

“Egypt’s Muslim Brotherhood has been displaying great skill in handling the media over the past year. Since the revolution last January and the party’s electoral success in the recent round of polls in the country, the Brotherhood’s media outlets have tirelessly tried to project an image of moderation. But many secularists and leftists remain suspicious.”

The problem is that it has had the full cooperation of the Western media and governments in selling itself as moderate. Here are the NowLebanon talking points:

--“`The Brotherhood is very savvy and clever when it comes to the media, and they know their audience very well. They certainly have very good media advisors,’ says Khaled Fahmy, professor of History at the American University in Cairo.”

--“The Brotherhood has set up a TV channel and a newspaper, and both it and the FJP have been keeping daily-updated websites in English and Arabic.

--Their Twitter page, Ikhwanweb, has almost 8,500 followers. The managers of the account regularly engage their followers in lively discussions, and the Brotherhood's party is the only one in Egypt that has its own smartphone App.



Wednesday, February 1, 2012

The Muslim Brotherhood Moderation Myth Revealed, Then Quickly Dropped Down the Memory Hole

Amazing--an NYT reporter admits the truth about the Muslim Brotherhood and then quickly reburies it.

By Barry Rubin

It is amazing how mass media coverage of the Middle East switches gears and implicitly admits to having been wrong while continuing with the same themes. Or sometimes, buried deep inside an article, there's a flash of truth that conflicts with everything else that's been said, even by the same reporter. But then the light goes out; the stygian dark returns; and it was as if that flash had never taken place.
In working on a new edition of my book, Islamic Fundamentalists in Egyptian Politics, I have reviewed media coverage from January 2011 to the present. It is virtually impossible to find a single reference--and certainly not directly from a journalist--saying that the Muslim Brotherhood was a radical group.

Instead we were told daily that it was moderate, pragmatic, against violence, not really anti-American, and so on. We were told that it was full of moderates and factions, especially of young people.

Instead, the narrative is being falsely shaped in this way:

--The Brotherhood is protecting Egypt from the even more radical Salafists so the West should support them.

--The real battle is between the military and the civilians so the Brotherhood is--or, at least, if it chooses to be--the champion of democracy against the armed forces. Supposedly, then, the liberal Egyptians will be grateful to the Islamist group even as it crushes them.

Now, in a new article, New York Times correspondent Robert Worth tells the story of Mohamed Beltagy, a beloved and heroic (according to Worth) Muslim Brotherhood figure who opposes repression by the military. Worth doesn't tell us that the Brotherhood supports the repression because it helps it to get rid of moderate--though politically inept--rivals. It is, however, clear that people like Beltagy have no real influence in the Brotherhood. In other words, if there are moderates they are marginal in a party that has almost half the seats in parliament.

But then--suddenly!--there's this amazing admission stuck way down in the story and not highlighted in any way:


Tuesday, August 9, 2011

Almost One Year After Egypt’s Muslim Brotherhood Declared Jihad on America and Revolution for Egypt the U.S. Establishment Still Doesn't "Get It"

By Barry Rubin



Wow, time flies when you’re having revolution. Almost a year ago I wrote an article entitled, “Muslim Brotherhood Declares War on America. Will America Notice?” The answer was “no.”


Four years ago I made a detailed analysis of the Muslim Brotherhood that explained“The banner of the Islamist revolution in the Middle East today has largely passed to groups sponsored by or derived from the Muslim Brotherhood.” I pointed out the differences—especially of tactical importance—between the Brotherhood groups and al-Qaida or Hizballah, but also discussed the similarities. This exposure so upset the Brotherhood that it put a detailed response on its official website to deny my analysis.


Last September I read a speech by the new head (supreme guide) of the Muslim Brotherhood. I was astonished. The speech represented a major new escalation of Brotherhood rhetoric beyond what I’d seen before. The basic analysis is that America was weak, the Egyptian regime was weak, and so now was the time to go to jihad and overthrow both.



And since then that's what they've been doing.




Read it all: