http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=WgSakKqDfA4#!
I think this gives a good view of my current thinking and hope you find it useful.
By the way, I note that I misspoke at one point when I referred to Turkey and Iran as the two non-Muslim-majority states in the region. I intended to say the two non-Arab Muslim-majority states in the region. And in saying Tunisia is the most secular state "in the world" (18 minutes) I intended to say most secular Muslim-majority state in the world.
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